Monero has posted a powerful bullish breakout, shifting its market structure and confirming a change in the character of price action. Following the impulsive rally, XMR is now undergoing a correction, one that may provide the ideal foundation for a continuation toward higher targets.
After breaking market structure with a strong upward surge, Monero (XMR) has entered a corrective phase, which is natural and expected following such impulsive price action. The key to the current move lies in where the correction finds support. Technical confluence zones offer valuable insight into where buyers may re-enter the market, and for Monero, that zone appears to be forming around the $269 region.
Key technical points
- Bullish Breakout Confirmed: XMR broke above key resistance and confirmed a shift in trend with higher highs and higher lows.
- Healthy Pullback in Progress: A correction is now underway, setting up for a potential higher low formation.
- $269 Support Confluence Zone: This level aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, VWAP support, and the 200-day moving average.
- Upside Targets at $338 and $417: These resistance levels remain open if the bullish structure continues from support.
Monero’s impulsive rally signaled a clear shift in market behavior, breaking the prior range and confirming bullish intent. With price now pulling back, this phase should not be viewed as weakness, but rather a viable correction in a strong uptrend.
The $269 level is now the critical support area to monitor. It brings together several high-probability technical factors:
- 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing
- VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) support
- The 200-day moving average, which serves as a long-term dynamic support
- Historical high-timeframe structure
This confluence creates a strong foundation for bulls to defend. A bounce from this region would confirm a higher low formation, in line with the newly established bullish structure.
If this support holds, Monero is positioned to rotate higher toward $338, the next local resistance, followed by a potential test of the $417 level, a key area that previously capped bullish momentum. Breaking these zones would establish a continued bullish trend with further upside potential.
What to expect in the coming price action
As long as $269 holds, Monero remains technically bullish. This zone acts as the likely candidate for a higher low, setting the stage for another leg upward. Confirmation from this level could propel XMR toward $338 and eventually $417. Watch for strong reaction volume and structure above $269 to validate the continuation.
